Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 18.625592 21.300378 24.362869 28.159635 32.783561 38.288509 45.424216
2025-07-27 14.738204 17.929181 21.906349 27.326469 34.680877 44.560756 59.291593
2025-08-03 13.147857 16.699005 21.400528 28.272602 38.410125 53.435207 78.723478
2025-08-10 11.611655 15.208218 20.182437 27.842402 39.893799 59.220444 95.256865
2025-08-17 10.445047 14.025991 19.159439 27.418670 41.155558 64.791314 113.290643
2025-08-24 9.567737 13.129156 18.397557 27.212264 42.637877 71.001445 134.963019
2025-08-31 8.723096 12.178512 17.420801 26.476889 43.011892 75.197362 154.165788
2025-09-07 8.105054 11.502701 16.783377 26.193527 44.111768 81.065888 180.183153
2025-09-14 7.378680 10.591778 15.670646 24.922254 43.078602 82.150227 194.309726
2025-09-21 6.729801 9.751587 14.595391 23.582612 41.677256 82.070752 205.232089
2025-09-28 6.269604 9.178993 13.915172 22.884384 41.470717 84.742821 226.416388
2025-10-05 6.483259 9.715251 15.164371 25.982793 49.977349 111.859128 355.278402
2025-10-12 6.306631 9.601163 15.290873 26.965738 54.151997 129.823192 474.781417
2025-10-19 5.899350 9.063646 14.605427 26.199828 53.998264 135.095412 542.012246
2025-10-26 5.748525 8.957819 14.702097 27.093345 58.223026 156.336279 738.339952
2025-11-02 5.451408 8.571010 14.232382 26.686778 58.943792 166.026966 882.144403
2025-11-09 5.181659 8.214830 13.790792 26.286172 59.605232 175.965483 1056.486899
2025-11-16 4.957596 7.926616 13.457378 26.090991 60.823329 188.904191 1304.541654
2025-11-23 4.698559 7.558452 12.937074 25.395389 60.424166 194.991015 1505.759221
2025-11-30 4.503199 7.296863 12.611038 25.127260 61.290742 207.426243 1855.185359
2025-12-07 4.229472 6.874476 11.930334 23.923684 58.987102 203.862990 1951.301863
2025-12-14 3.966852 6.461566 11.246414 22.654204 56.284679 197.460293 1986.294796
2025-12-21 3.778838 6.181495 10.820764 21.992053 55.474566 200.571830 2236.911306